Crimea Update 3/10/2014-3/12/2014

Upate 3/10/14:

  • What does Putin want (negotiating points):
  •  Stall signing of EU Association Agreement
  •  Greater control over gas transit to EU
  •  Genuine concern over safety of ethnic Russians (although threat exaggureated)
  •  Coalition government in Kyiv with pro-moscow representatio
  •  Head off economic sanctons
  •  Putin viewed as strong leader
  •  Privitization of Naftogas w/ Russia as a bidder?
  •  Repeal language law which eroded Russian language status

Crimea Update 3/11/14

  • Economic sanctions may not be enough if Putin becomes isolationist. Putin’s domestic approval rating is at a two year high due to the invasion of Crimea. A Western political model is approval though economic development; Putin may run the Russian economy into the ground, but keep civilians under his thumb by projecting that he is increasing Russia’s influence as an international power: http://www.the-american-interest.com/articles/2014/03/10/falling-into-putins-trap/

Crimea Update:

 

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s